Statistical analysis of brews

How to apply statistical analysis to coffee brewing experiments to evaluate consistency, identify trends, and make data-driven improvements.

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  • Coffee Basics Nerds
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Article 10 of 12 in Advanced Extraction & Research/
Statistical analysis of brews

Why Use Statistics?

  • Coffee brewing produces natural variability.
  • Statistics help determine whether observed differences are real effects or just noise.
  • Provides confidence in recipe development, QC, and research.

Common Statistical Tools

  1. Descriptive Statistics:
  • Mean, median, standard deviation.
  • Used for TDS, EY, or brew time averages.
  1. Comparative Tests:
  • t-test: Compare two recipes (e.g., 92°C vs 96°C water).
  • ANOVA: Compare multiple recipes or grind levels.
  1. Correlation & Regression:
  • Show relationships between variables (grind size vs EY).
  • Build predictive models.
  1. Sensory Statistics:
  • Triangle test significance.
  • Panel calibration and inter-rater reliability.

Practical Example

  • Test: Does increasing dose improve sweetness in espresso?
  • Method: Brew 3 dose levels (18g, 19g, 20g), measure TDS + sensory scores.
  • Analysis:
  • Use ANOVA to test differences in TDS and sweetness scores.
  • Apply post-hoc tests to see which doses differ.
  • Outcome: Identify optimal dose range with statistical support.

Benefits in Coffee Research

  • Reduces subjective bias by quantifying results.
  • Guides recipe adjustments with evidence.
  • Strengthens credibility when publishing findings or training staff.

Tips for Baristas & Roasters

  • Keep sample sizes reasonable (≥3–5 repetitions).
  • Use simple spreadsheet tools for calculations.
  • Combine sensory and instrumental data for robust conclusions.

Summary

Statistical analysis of brews moves coffee experimentation from intuition to data-driven confidence. By applying tests like t-tests, ANOVA, and regression, professionals can validate recipes, minimize variability, and achieve greater consistency and clarity in brewing outcomes.

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Coffee Basics Nerds

Written by : Coffee Basics Nerds

Expert coffee historians and brewing enthusiasts dedicated to sharing the rich heritage and techniques behind your perfect cup of coffee.

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